000 FXUS63 KLOT 011058 AFDLOT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 558 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2009 .DISCUSSION... 242 AM CDT ...ODE TO SUMMER 2009... YOU ARRIVED QUITE LATE YOUR WARMTH NEVER GREAT OFTEN DREARY AND GRAY RAIN...FILLED MANY A DAY NOW ITS TIME YOU DEPART LEAVING US HOW YOU START TEMPERATURES UNSEASONABLY LOW YET SUNSHINE ALL AGLOW SOME RECORDS DID FALL AS RAIN PILED UP TALL THE THIRD COLDEST ON RECORD NOW ON THE BOOKS IN ROCKFORD THOUGH AUGUST 19TH CAME IN WITH STORMS THAT HAD SOME SPIN YOUR UNUSUAL AUTUMN-LIKE CHILL KEPT SOME LONGING FOR THUNDERY FRILL SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE IS YOUR FATE AND NOW FOR WINTERS EL NINO WE WAIT A PARTING GIFT BEFORE YOU GO YET ANOTHER NORTHWEST FLOW WHILE TAKING SOME POETIC LICENSE TO BID ADIEU TO SUMMER...POETRY IS NOT NECESSARY TO DISCUSS THE TRULY SPLENDID WEATHER THAT IS IN STORE FOR THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEK. A WEAK AND MOISTURE STARVED VORT UPSTREAM WAS EVIDENT OVER MN EARLIER THIS EVENING ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS A SWIRL IN THE SMOKE BLOWING OFF WESTERN FIRES! WHILE INTERESTING TO LOOK AT...THE VORT IS PRODUCING NARY A CLOUD FROM THE SURFACE TO THE STRATOSPHERE SO SHOULD HAVE NO IMPACT ON OUR WEATHER. DRY AIRMASS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WITH HIGH PRESSURE NEARBY SHOULD CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR LARGE DIURNAL TEMP SWINGS THIS WEEK. A SLOW MODERATING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE THIS WEEK AS THE SURFACE RIDGE DRIFTS EVER SO SLOWLY TO THE EAST...WITH MODERATION MOST NOTICEABLE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ACTUALLY CLIMBING BACK ABOVE 80 BY THE END OF THE WEEK. NO CHANGES PLANNED TO HOLIDAY WEEKEND FORECAST THOUGH THE 00Z MODEL SUITE DOES SEEM TO LOOK A BIT LESS LIKELY FOR RAIN...PARTICULARLY ON SUNDAY. DAY SHIFT WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO GET LATEST THOUGHTS FROM HPC AND COORDINATE WITH NEIGHBORING ON THE ALL IMPORTANT HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND CAN MAKE ANY NECESSARY ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/WX AT THAT TIME. IZZI && .AVIATION... 558 AM CDT 1200 UTC TAFS...WITH THE CORE OF THE RIDGE OVER THE REGION TODAY...STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL LEAD TO SKIES REMAINING CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH WINDS REMAINING LIGHT. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS BEING NORTH IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN/FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS...THE WINDS WILL HAVE SOMEWHAT OF AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THEM BUT SHOULDN`T JUMP OVER 10KT TODAY. WINDS GO LIGHT AND CALM AGAIN OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT. HALBACH && .MARINE... 137 AM CDT LIGHT WIND REGIME FROM A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS THE CORE OF THE HIGH REMAINS SPREAD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LAKE TO THE NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS WHERE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KT GUSTING TO 15 KT CAN BE EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR THE MOST PART ACROSS THE LAKE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NO HEADLINES ANTICIPATED. HALBACH && .LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. IN...NONE. LM...NONE. && $$
back to the Forecast Discussion Hall of Fame
All content contained herein is copyrighted by Ben Cotton unless stated otherwise. Use or reproduction of content - including images, text, and source code - without express permission of Mr. Cotton or his estate is strictly forbidden. For further details, please visit our legal page. This page last updated 09/01/09. For general inquiries, contact FunnelFiasco. Powered by Dryline Hosting.
